5 strategic blunders Moms, Mayors made in their $50 million NRA challenge (VIDEO)

With news breaking late Tuesday night that Mayors Against Illegal Guns and Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America would become one group known as ‘Everytown for Gun Safety’ and that it’s vocal leader, billionaire business magnate Michael Bloomberg, would be dumping $50 million into its two-front campaign designed to (a) take on the political clout of the National Rifle Association and (b) urge Congress to enact a federal law to expand background checks to cover private gun sales, I couldn’t help but to notice five glaring strategic blunders in this well-funded, gun control operation:

1. New name, same stink

You can’t polish a turd. In other words, they can call it whatever they like, but as long as Bloomberg is at the helm of the organization they’re going to encounter heavy opposition to their cause.

See, despite what Bloomberg thinks, he’s not beloved nationally like he is in the Big Apple. Of course, he’s too blind to notice this. Just consider these quotes from the New York Times article that broke the story:

“I don’t know what your perception is of our reputation, and mine, the name Bloomberg around the country,” said Bloomberg. But every place he goes, he added, “You’re a rock star. People yelling out of cabs, ‘Hey, way to go!’ ”

“I am telling you if there is a God, when I get to heaven I’m not stopping to be interviewed. I am heading straight in. I have earned my place in heaven. It’s not even close.”

That’s right, not only does the man claim that people believe he is a rock star, but he is convinced he has a privileged access to grace.

Needless to say Bloomberg’s hubris, his grossly inflated perception of his popularity, is only going to continue to rub folks the wrong way and hurt the group’s chances of actualizing its objectives.

But don’t take my word for it, consider what David Brooks of the New York Times had to say about Bloomberg’s leadership role in the battle over gun control back in 2012:

One of the problems with this debate; it’s become a values war. It’s perceived as urban versus rural. And, frankly, it’s perceived as an attack on the lifestyle of rural people by urban people. And, I admire Mayor Bloomberg enormously – there’s probably no politician I agree with more – but it’s counterproductive to have him as the spokesperson for the gun law movement. There has to be more respect and more people, frankly, from rural and red America who are participants in this.

Same certainly holds true today. Bloomberg is at best a double-edged sword. While his money is helpful, his pride, his nanny-state persona, and his elitism are harmful to the cause and off-putting to middle America.

A better play would have been to take Bloomberg’s money and remove him from the spotlight altogether. But for a man who cares so much about his reputation and his legacy, now that he’s entering his twilight years, there’s no way he would step back and let others lead the charge.

So, as it’s been said in the good book, “Pride goes before destruction, a haughty spirit before a fall.”

2. Timing is everything

If it’s true that timing is everything, then one has to question why Everytown chose to announce this move approximately two weeks before the National Rifle Association’s annual show and convention, which is the gun lobby’s one weekend during the year in which they are certain to garner mainstream media coverage and reach millions of Americans.

Obviously, the timing of Everytown was deliberate, but didn’t it cross their minds that they’re teeing this up perfectly for the NRA to strike back with a counterpunch that will rally the gun organization’s fervent base likely leading to a spike in membership?

Michael R. Bloomberg with Shannon Watts, of Moms Demand Action, are combining forces to form the new Everytown gun control group.  (Photo credit: Ruth Fremson/The New York Times)

Michael R. Bloomberg with Shannon Watts, of Moms Demand Action, are combining forces to form Everytown for Gun Safety. (Photo credit: Ruth Fremson/The New York Times)

One will recall that following Newtown, when gun control advocates arguably had their best chances of convincing lawmakers to vote for stricter gun laws, the NRA acquired hundreds of thousands of new members, bringing it’s total to over 5 million, the gun lobby claims.

The NRA was able to turn lemons into lemonade then and one can assume they’ll spin this Everytown announcement to their own advantage now.

So the question remains, why do this two weeks out from the NRA’s biggest event of the year? Why give the NRA ample time to address it? Why not catch the NRA off guard and submarine Wayne LaPierre with the announcement during the show, thus stealing the headlines in the media?

I’m sure Everytown is planning a counter protest at the show and exhibit in downtown Indianapolis, so that’s probably why the did it two weeks out as opposed to during the show itself, but even so, it’s hard to imagine that Everytown’s presence at the show will do anything more than to rattle the cage of a sleeping giant.

3. The real objection to background checks

Various polls show that there is widespread public support for universal background checks yet many gun owners are opposed to a law mandating them. Why is this?

The reason gun owners object to universal background checks is not over the notion that private transfers shouldn’t be subject to background checks, but over the implementation of the measures lawmakers proposed.

In theory, not many gun owners have a problem with conducting background checks on prospective buyers. In practice, however, conducting a criminal check for every gun transfer is burdensome and often unnecessary. No one it seems, including Everytown, is addressing this concern.

Instead of investing millions of dollars to push a measure that gun owners reject because it means they’ll have to seek out an FFL or gun shop dealer and pay a fee every time they want to transfer or sell a firearm, Everytown should be spending money on a technology that lessens the burden for gun owners, thus making background checks as simple as running an application on a smart phone.

It can be done. It can be done without setting up a government-run registry. Just create a program or application where gun owners can independently access NICS, the FBI’s criminal background check system, and run a rudimentary check on a perspective purchaser. The resulting check would have two commands, “Proceed with sale” or “Consult FFL.”

In most cases, law-abiding citizens would not run into any issues and could proceed with the transfer and print out a record of sale for their own safe keeping. In other cases where an issue arises, the two parties could then consult an FFL who could run a more thorough check and discover if there’s an issue with the prospective buyer and inform the buyer on what the issue is and if there is a way to resolve it.

Gallup Poll on Background Checks

Gallup Poll on the Manchin-Toomey amendment that would have expanded background checks to cover gun sales made over the Internet and at gun shows. (Photo credit: Gallup)

A background check application like the one described would ensure gun owners maintain their privacy, keep government out of the equation and perhaps scare away criminals and other prohibited persons from attempting to purchase firearms from private sellers.

Instead of trying to galvanize suburban moms, faith leaders, mayors, political elites, law enforcement officials, etc., to support legislation they don’t know or care little about, why not pursue a background check initiative that directly addresses the concerns of those who it will effect the most, i.e. gun owners?

4. Why go to war when compromise is possible?

It appears that Everytown is gearing up for war when it’s quite possible that they could have cut a deal with gun owners and saved Bloomberg millions of dollars.

If we are to take them at their word, the goals of the group are not that onerous, as they state in their press release, “Everytown will address issues like background checks, domestic violence, suicide prevention and safe storage of guns: the first video from Everytown shows why every parent needs to be concerned about safe storage.”

Moreover, they’ve maintained that they’re not pursuing laws banning so-called ‘assault weapons’ or ‘high-capacity’ magazines.

“Nobody is going to take anyone’s gun. Nobody is going to keep you from hunting or target practice or protecting yourself,” said Bloomberg on Wednesday during an appearance on the Today Show. “Just making sure that a handful of people, who we all agree shouldn’t have guns, don’t get their hands on them.”

Suppose that’s the case, and Bloomberg’s being sincere in his remarks, I bet most gun owners would readily sign a deal that established national, ‘shall-issue’ concealed carry reciprocity laws in all 50 states and created a federal law banning bans on ‘assault weapons’ and ‘high capacity’ magazines in exchange for an improved background check system, tougher laws cracking down on domestic abusers and increased funding for suicide prevention and the safe storage of firearms.

If the leaders of Everytown are serious about achieving those goals, they should put this deal on the table. If they did, my guess is that they’d end the gun control debate in this country once and for all.

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5. All this for what?

Before one wages a $50 million war, they ought to know what they stand to gain if they win. And in this particular instance, what’s achieved by expanding background checks to cover private transfers is not quite clear, meaning that there’s no statistically significant evidence to suggest that universal background checks would have a positive effect on crime rates.

As Bloomberg Businessweek assistant managing editor and senior writer Paul Barrett told me in an interview, “As for the background check system, there is not clear-cut real social science evidence that it has had an effect on crime levels.”

Though, Barrett went on to say, “Nevertheless, my instinct is that even without substantial social science evidence, having the background check system in place is a broad and not perfect but nevertheless possible healthy deterrent to prevent the wrong people from getting guns some amount of the time — even if I can’t prove it.”

While Barrett’s instinct may be right, there’s also the question of opportunity costs. That is to say, is spending millions and millions of dollars on a background check measure really the best use of that money considering that it’s not clear if it would have a substantive effect on gun-related violence?

I hate to say it because it’s such a cliche at this point, but closing the background check loophole is not going to stop criminals from getting firearms because criminals don’t follow the law. In a country with 300 million firearms, obtaining one is not that difficult. Criminals can steal one from a friend, family member, buy one from the streets, go through a straw purchasers, etc.

All of this leads me to the conclusion that the $50 million could be put to better use if it was spent elsewhere, perhaps on programs that benefit those suffering from mental illness or those struggling with drug addiction or those at-risk for becoming involved with gangs.

If the goal of Everytown is to save as many lives as possible while respecting the Second Amendment, expanding background checks might be on the list of things to do, but it probably shouldn’t be the top priority.